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BOXED BETS
Many 10-cent superfecta players
will put no more thought or effort into their 10-cent superfecta bets other than
to just routinely "box" four or more horses. The main
problem I have with
this approach is that some of the money that is invested can be
be tied up in
combinations that have little or no chance of succeeding.
For
example, a 10-cent superfecta four-horse box costs $2.40.
When broken down, it consists of four separate $.60 betting combinations as shown below:
|
Combination #1 |
Combination #2 |
Combination #3 |
Combination #4 |
|
A |
B |
C |
D |
|
B C D |
A C D |
A B D |
A B C |
|
B C D |
A C D |
A B D |
A B C |
|
B C D |
A C D |
A B D |
A B C |
|
Cost: $.60 |
Cost: $.60 |
Cost: $.60 |
Cost: $.60 |
As you can see, each of the horses selected (A B C D) has been given an equal
chance of winning.
Even a
person with the most basic of handicapping skills at some point will realize
that A B C and D's chances of winning are not always equal, yet the bet is made
under that assumption.
Betting the 10-cent superfecta is all about having an opinion and betting
accordingly. For example, if you do not think horse D is capable of
winning the race, then why tie
up that extra $.60 (25% of your money) on
Combination #4? I know its a horse race and "anything can happen" but
playing the 10-cent superfecta is all about investing your money wisely.
The second
problem I have with boxed bets is that you have to pay dearly for any "margin of
error". In a four-horse box, you have no margin for error. It is all
or nothing. If one of your horses gets left at the gate or encounters
trouble, you have no chance of winning. Want to add a fifth horse for
insurance? How does $12 sound for a five-horse box? What about a six-horse box?
It will cost you $36 and the costs just keep escalating from there.
My book, The 10-Cent Superfecta
Betting Guide, is based on betting combinations. By using
betting combinations you make your bets based on where you think horses might
finish. This approach also allows you the luxury of adding additional
horses where needed for a "margin of error" without incurring substantial
additional costs. My book
includes a large set of tables that
display hundreds of cost-effective betting combinations.
On which of the following would you rather invest $2.40?
|
Four-horse box |
Betting Combination |
|
A B C D |
A B |
|
A B C D |
A B C |
|
A B C D |
A B C D |
|
A B C D |
A B C D E F |
|
Cost: $2.40 |
Cost: $2.40 |
On which of the following would
you rather invest $12?
|
Five-horse box |
Betting Combination |
|
A B C D E |
A B |
|
A B C D E |
A B C D |
|
A B C D E |
A B C D E F |
|
A B C D E |
A B C D E F G H |
|
Cost: $12 |
Cost: $12 |
Playing the 10-cent superfecta requires handicapping skill and the
wise investment of your money.
If you want to learn more about playing the 10-cent superfecta be
sure to get my
book,
The 10-Cent Superfecta Betting Guide.
Paul
Lambrakis
September 20, 2007
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